The Cocktail Party just lost some luster. Florida and Georgia go down - both at home - both to conference foes. It brings up a point that was emphasized in the aftermath of USC's loss to Oregon State - conference play brings upsets. Conference opponents know each other better and are not intimidated....and its just getting started.
Who's No. 1? Oklahoma says the polls although the argument has been made for Alabama due to their impressive wins. The Clemson win doesn't look nearly as impressive as it did at the time but I'm willing to put some stock in the moment. Georgia was exposed as a fraud - at least for now - but it was a solid win for Alabama.
No opponent has even come close to even putting a mild scare in Oklahoma. Cincinnati isn't going to help the Sooners in strength of schedule because the 17 starters or so they had back from a 10 win team last year is in trouble as their top 2 QBs have gone down. Washington isn't going to help the Sooners or Tyrone Willingham's job status now that Jake Locker is out for most or all of the season. TCU was a pretty solid team and we shall see how they fare in conference.
Both Oklahoma and Alabama have solid lines and good skill players. The big difference is at QB. Kudos to John Parker Wilson for a nice start but there is no neutral observer that would pick Wilson over Sam Bradford.
Both the Sooners and the Tide are going to face challenges in tough conferences. One thing to watch - the Tide's win over Georgia and the subsequent No. 2 ranking has turned them from the hunter into the hunted. The Tide has a long history of championship football but this group has not experienced what they are about to face with exposure, pressure and the bullseye. Not a knock because a lot of teams that have experience in the VIP room of rankings haven't handled the spotlight well lately.
Oklahoma has to watch out but they have the best draw imaginable given the circumstances. Texas is neutral. Kansas and Tech is in Norman. The road games is where OU has tripped up but K-State and A&M? I thought they were trap games a few weeks ago but not right now. The Bedlam game could be huge in Stillwater but the more people talk about an upset there, the more unlikely it is to happen.
A lot of people are already anticipating a Red River Rivalry showdown between a pair of top five teams but Texas needs to watch out. They are in the exact same spot at Oklahoma last year before they were upset in Boulder. The Longhorns have not been tested and although they will say the right things, it wouldn't be tough to suggest they might be looking ahead to the game in Dallas, especially after Colorado's pathetic performance at Florida State in which the Noles score 39 points. This is the ultimate trap game because Colorado will rebound at home. It may not be enough but Texas will be tested on Saturday.
Oklahoma's box score against TCU looked solid - the score and passing yards anyway. Here's thinking the Sooners' offensive line is going to get lit up in practice after averaging 0.7 yards against TCU's defense. TCU sold out to stop the run - really sold out - and left the big pass play wide open. But the Sooners' massive and talented OL should have at least opened enough creases to spring their backs for some decent gains against an overly aggressive defense. Baylor's elusive freshman QB Robert Griffin will get the Sooners attention in the film room.
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
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